Monday, June 01, 2026

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins, June 1, 2026

 Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2026 Jun 01 0157 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 25 - 31 May 2026


Solar activity reached moderate levels on 29 May when Region 4455 (N15, L=83, class/area=Eko/370 on 29 May) produced an M1.1/Sf flare at 29/0704 UTC; the largest flare of the period. Solar activity was low with C-flare activity observed throughout the remainder of the week. 

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux became enhanced late on 25 May following an eruption from beyond the NW limb. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux exceeded S1 (Minor) levels at 26/0010 UTC, and reached a peak flux of 2,380 pfu at 26/0110 UTC before decreasing below S1 levels by 26/0540 UTC. The greater than 100 MeV proton flux also became enhanced following this event, but did not exceed alert threshold. 

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels throughout the period. 

Geomagnetic field activity reached unsettled levels on 25 and 27 May, with active levels observed on 26, and 28-31 May, as negative polarity CH HSS influences prevailed throughout the period. 

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 01 June - 27 June 2026

Solar activity is expected to be at predominantly low levels throughout the outlook period, with a chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flare activity. 

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 12-20 Jun, with normal to moderate levels likely throughout the remainder of the period. 

Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G2 (Moderate) storm levels on 11 Jun, with G1 (Minor) storming likely on 12 Jun, due to negative polarity CH HSS influences. Active conditions are likely on 01, 03-05, 13-14, and 23-27 Jun due to multiple recurrent CH HSSs. Quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to prevail throughout the remainder of the outlook period. 

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2026 Jun 01 0157 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2026-06-01
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2026 Jun 01     135          10          4
2026 Jun 02     135           8          3
2026 Jun 03     130          14          4
2026 Jun 04     130          12          4
2026 Jun 05     125          10          4
2026 Jun 06     125           8          3
2026 Jun 07     125           5          2
2026 Jun 08     120           5          2
2026 Jun 09     120           5          2
2026 Jun 10     130           5          2
2026 Jun 11     135          30          6
2026 Jun 12     135          25          5
2026 Jun 13     130          12          4
2026 Jun 14     130          10          4
2026 Jun 15     140           8          3
2026 Jun 16     140           5          2
2026 Jun 17     150           5          2
2026 Jun 18     155           5          2
2026 Jun 19     160           5          2
2026 Jun 20     160           5          2
2026 Jun 21     165           8          3
2026 Jun 22     160           8          3
2026 Jun 23     155          10          4
2026 Jun 24     145          15          4
2026 Jun 25     145          15          4
2026 Jun 26     150          15          4
2026 Jun 27     150          15          4
(NOAA)