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Monday, January 29, 2018
Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins
Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Jan 29 0117 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 22 - 28 January 2018
Solar activity was at very low levels. The largest event of the period was a B9 flare from plage Region 2696 (S13, L=123). No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal levels on 22-25 Jan and moderate levels from 26-28 Jan. A maximum flux of 348 pfu was observed at 27/2010 UTC. Geomagnetic field activity was at predominately quiet to unsettled levels with an isolated active interval observed late on 24 Jan. Quiet to unsettled periods were observed on 22 Jan and 24-26 Jan due to a pair of weak negative polarity CH HSS. Quiet levels were observed on 23 Jan and 27- 28 January.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 29 January - 24 February 2018
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels throughout the outlook period. No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels throughout the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 29-31 Jan, 04-05 Feb, 09-11 Feb, 15-18 Feb and 20-22 Feb, with isolated active periods likely on 10 Feb. This activity is due
to influence from recurrent CH HSSs. Mostly quiet conditions are expected for the remainder of the outlook period.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Jan 29 0118 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2018-01-29
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2018 Jan 29 69 8 3
2018 Jan 30 69 8 3
2018 Jan 31 69 8 3
2018 Feb 01 69 5 2
2018 Feb 02 69 5 2
2018 Feb 03 69 5 2
2018 Feb 04 69 8 3
2018 Feb 05 69 8 3
2018 Feb 06 70 5 2
2018 Feb 07 70 5 2
2018 Feb 08 70 5 2
2018 Feb 09 70 8 3
2018 Feb 10 70 12 4
2018 Feb 11 70 8 3
2018 Feb 12 70 5 2
2018 Feb 13 70 5 2
2018 Feb 14 70 5 2
2018 Feb 15 70 8 3
2018 Feb 16 70 12 4
2018 Feb 17 70 8 3
2018 Feb 18 70 10 3
2018 Feb 19 70 5 2
2018 Feb 20 70 8 3
2018 Feb 21 70 10 3
2018 Feb 22 70 8 3
2018 Feb 23 69 5 2
2018 Feb 24 69 5 2
(NOAA)