Monday, May 30, 2022

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

 



Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2022 May 30 0129 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 23 - 29 May 2022

Solar activity ranged from very low to moderate levels throughout the week. Moderate solar activity was observed on 25 May when an M1/1n flare was observed at 25/1824 UTC from Region 3016 (S19, L=074, class/area=Dao/180 on 18 May), which was the largest event of
the period. Solar activity was low on 23-24, and 26-28 May, and very low levels were observed on 29 May. Regions 3014 (N24, L=105, class/area=Dkc/1190 on 20 May) and 3017 (N13, L=085, class/area=Dai/130 on 23 May) were the most active and complex regions on the disk this period. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected this period. 

No proton events were observed in geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was normal to moderate throughout the week. 

Geomagnetic field activity reached minor storm levels on 27-28 May due to negative polarity CH HSS influence. Geomagnetic field conditions were quiet and quiet to unsettled throughout the remainder of the period. 

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 30 May - 25 June 2022

Solar activity is expected to be at mostly low levels throughout the period. M-class flare activity is possible on 07-22 Jun. 

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 30 May-04 Jun, and be predominately normal to moderate on 05-25 Jun. 

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach minor storm levels on 24 Jun, and active levels on 12-13, 16-17, and 23 Jun, due to recurrent CH HSS influences. Quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to prevail throughout the remainder of the period. 

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2022 May 30 0129 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2022-05-30
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2022 May 30     100          10          3
2022 May 31     100           8          3
2022 Jun 01     100           5          2
2022 Jun 02     100           5          2
2022 Jun 03      98           5          2
2022 Jun 04      98           5          2
2022 Jun 05      98           5          2
2022 Jun 06      98           5          2
2022 Jun 07     110           5          2
2022 Jun 08     112           5          2
2022 Jun 09     125           5          2
2022 Jun 10     130           8          3
2022 Jun 11     135          12          3
2022 Jun 12     140          14          4
2022 Jun 13     145          14          4
2022 Jun 14     150           8          3
2022 Jun 15     145          12          3
2022 Jun 16     140          14          4
2022 Jun 17     140          14          4
2022 Jun 18     140          12          3
2022 Jun 19     130           5          2
2022 Jun 20     125           5          2
2022 Jun 21     120           5          2
2022 Jun 22     110           5          2
2022 Jun 23     100          16          4
2022 Jun 24     100          22          5
2022 Jun 25     100          12          3
(NOAA)