Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins



Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2019 May 27 0149 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 20 - 26 May 2019

Solar activity was very low. No sunspots were observed on the solar disk and no Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal levels on 20-21 May and normal to moderate levels on 22-26 May.

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled on 20 May and 26 May. The remainder of the reporting period was quiet.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 27 May - 22 June 2019

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to range from normal to high levels. High levels are expected on 29 May - 02 Jun and moderate levels are expected on
03-12 Jun. Enhancements in electron flux are due to the anticipated influence of multiple CH HSSs. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at normal background levels.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to active levels. Early on 27 May, unsettled to active levels are possible due to weak enhancements in the solar wind. Negative polarity CH HSS influence is expected to produce unsettled to active conditions from 28-30 May and quiet to unsettled conditions from 31 May-02 Jun. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be mostly quiet under nominal solar wind conditions.




Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2019 May 27 0149 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2019-05-27
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2019 May 27      67           5          2
2019 May 28      67          12          4
2019 May 29      67          18          4
2019 May 30      67          15          4
2019 May 31      68          10          3
2019 Jun 01      70            10          3
2019 Jun 02      72           8          3
2019 Jun 03      72           5          2
2019 Jun 04      72           5          2
2019 Jun 05      72           5          2
2019 Jun 06      72           5          2
2019 Jun 07      72           5          2
2019 Jun 08      72           5          2
2019 Jun 09      72           5          2
2019 Jun 10      72           5          2
2019 Jun 11      72           5          2
2019 Jun 12      72           5          2
2019 Jun 13      72           5          2
2019 Jun 14      70           5          2
2019 Jun 15      68           5          2
2019 Jun 16      67           5          2
2019 Jun 17      67           5          2
2019 Jun 18      67           5          2
2019 Jun 19      67           5          2
2019 Jun 20      67           5          2
2019 Jun 21      67           5          2
2019 Jun 22      67           5          2
(NOAA)