Monday, February 16, 2015

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins




Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2015 Feb 16 0200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 16 February - 14 March 2015

Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels throughout the period due to the return of Regions 2268 (S11, L=048), 2277 (N09, L=328), 2280 (S07, L=284), and 2282 (N15, L=187),
all of which produced M-class flare activity during their previous transits of the visible solar disk. 

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at low levels on 16, 18, 22-24 Feb with moderate levels likely on 17, 19-21, 25 Feb and 01, 05-14 Mar and high levels
likely on 02-04 Mar due to coronal hole high speed stream activity. 

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at predominately quiet  to unsettled levels throughout the period with active conditions likely on 16, 22-23, 28 Feb and 01-02 Mar due to weak coronal hole
high speed stream activity. 

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2015 Feb 16 0200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2015-02-16
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2015 Feb 16     125          15          4
2015 Feb 17     130          10          3
2015 Feb 18     130           8          3
2015 Feb 19     130           5          2
2015 Feb 20     125           5          2
2015 Feb 21     125           5          2
2015 Feb 22     125          12          4
2015 Feb 23     130          12          4
2015 Feb 24     135           5          2
2015 Feb 25     135           5          2
2015 Feb 26     135           5          2
2015 Feb 27     130          10          3
2015 Feb 28     130          18          4
2015 Mar 01     125          18          4
2015 Mar 02     125          15          4
2015 Mar 03     125          10          3
2015 Mar 04     125          10          3
2015 Mar 05     125           5          2
2015 Mar 06     120           7          2
2015 Mar 07     115          10          3
2015 Mar 08     115          10          3
2015 Mar 09     115           5          2
2015 Mar 10     115           5          2
2015 Mar 11     115           5          2
2015 Mar 12     115           5          2
2015 Mar 13     115           5          2
2015 Mar 14     115          10          3
(NOAA)