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Monday, October 15, 2018
Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins
Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Oct 15 0146 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 08 - 14 October 2018
Solar activity was very low this period. Regions 2724 (S08, L=126, class/area, Hrx/20 on 12 Oct) and 2725 (S11, L=113, class/area, Axx/10 on 14 Oct) were the only numbered sunspots on the visible disk but were quiet and stable throughout the period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the summary period.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 08-13 Oct then decreased to moderate levels on 14 Oct.
Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 10 and 13 Oct, active for conditions on 08-09 Oct, unsettled levels on 11 Oct, and quiet conditions on 12 and 14 Oct due to CH HSS influence.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 15 October - 10 November 2018
Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 15-25 Oct and 04-09 Nov with moderate flux levels expected throughout the remainder of the period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 19 Oct and on 03-04 Nov with active levels expected on 18 Oct and 05-06 Nov due to the influence of the multiple recurrent CH HSSs.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Oct 15 0146 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2018-10-15
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2018 Oct 15 72 10 3
2018 Oct 16 72 5 2
2018 Oct 17 72 5 2
2018 Oct 18 72 12 4
2018 Oct 19 72 18 5
2018 Oct 20 72 10 3
2018 Oct 21 72 5 3
2018 Oct 22 70 10 3
2018 Oct 23 70 8 3
2018 Oct 24 70 5 2
2018 Oct 25 69 5 2
2018 Oct 26 69 10 3
2018 Oct 27 69 5 2
2018 Oct 28 69 5 2
2018 Oct 29 69 5 2
2018 Oct 30 69 5 2
2018 Oct 31 69 5 2
2018 Nov 01 69 5 2
2018 Nov 02 69 5 2
2018 Nov 03 69 22 5
2018 Nov 04 69 20 5
2018 Nov 05 70 15 4
2018 Nov 06 70 15 4
2018 Nov 07 72 8 3
2018 Nov 08 72 5 2
2018 Nov 09 72 12 3
2018 Nov 10 72 8 3
(NOAA)
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