Monday, October 08, 2018

weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins


Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Oct 08 0135 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 01 - 07 October 2018

Solar activity was very low this period. Region 2723 (S08, L=357,  class/area=Dso/30 on 01 Oct) was the only active region with sunspots, but was quiet throughout the period. No Earth-directed
CMEs were observed during the summary period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at moderate levels throughout the period.

Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 07 Oct due to the influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. Active conditions were observed on 01-02 Oct and quiet to unsettled levels were observed on 03, and 05-06 Oct. Quiet conditions prevailed on 04 Oct.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 08 October - 03 November 2018

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 08-25 Oct with moderate flux levels expected throughout the remainder of the outlook period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels on 08 Oct and 03 Nov due to the influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are expected on 19 Oct and active levels are expected on 09-10, 18, 20, and 22 Oct, due to the influence of multiple, recurrent CH HSSs.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Oct 08 0135 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2018-10-08
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2018 Oct 08      69          35          6
2018 Oct 09      69          15          4
2018 Oct 10      69          15          4
2018 Oct 11      69          10          3
2018 Oct 12      69           8          3
2018 Oct 13      69           5          2
2018 Oct 14      69          10          3
2018 Oct 15      69           8          3
2018 Oct 16      69           5          2
2018 Oct 17      69           5          2
2018 Oct 18      69          10          4
2018 Oct 19      69          25          5
2018 Oct 20      69          14          4
2018 Oct 21      69           8          3
2018 Oct 22      69          12          4
2018 Oct 23      69           8          3
2018 Oct 24      69           8          3
2018 Oct 25      69           8          3
2018 Oct 26      69          10          3
2018 Oct 27      69           5          2
2018 Oct 28      69           5          2
2018 Oct 29      69           5          2
2018 Oct 30      69           5          2
2018 Oct 31      69           5          2
2018 Nov 01      69           5          2
2018 Nov 02      69           5          2
2018 Nov 03      69          22          6
(NOAA)