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Monday, October 08, 2018
weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins
Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Oct 08 0135 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 01 - 07 October 2018
Solar activity was very low this period. Region 2723 (S08, L=357, class/area=Dso/30 on 01 Oct) was the only active region with sunspots, but was quiet throughout the period. No Earth-directed
CMEs were observed during the summary period.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at moderate levels throughout the period.
Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 07 Oct due to the influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. Active conditions were observed on 01-02 Oct and quiet to unsettled levels were observed on 03, and 05-06 Oct. Quiet conditions prevailed on 04 Oct.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 08 October - 03 November 2018
Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 08-25 Oct with moderate flux levels expected throughout the remainder of the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels on 08 Oct and 03 Nov due to the influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are expected on 19 Oct and active levels are expected on 09-10, 18, 20, and 22 Oct, due to the influence of multiple, recurrent CH HSSs.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Oct 08 0135 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2018-10-08
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2018 Oct 08 69 35 6
2018 Oct 09 69 15 4
2018 Oct 10 69 15 4
2018 Oct 11 69 10 3
2018 Oct 12 69 8 3
2018 Oct 13 69 5 2
2018 Oct 14 69 10 3
2018 Oct 15 69 8 3
2018 Oct 16 69 5 2
2018 Oct 17 69 5 2
2018 Oct 18 69 10 4
2018 Oct 19 69 25 5
2018 Oct 20 69 14 4
2018 Oct 21 69 8 3
2018 Oct 22 69 12 4
2018 Oct 23 69 8 3
2018 Oct 24 69 8 3
2018 Oct 25 69 8 3
2018 Oct 26 69 10 3
2018 Oct 27 69 5 2
2018 Oct 28 69 5 2
2018 Oct 29 69 5 2
2018 Oct 30 69 5 2
2018 Oct 31 69 5 2
2018 Nov 01 69 5 2
2018 Nov 02 69 5 2
2018 Nov 03 69 22 6
(NOAA)