Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2009 Feb 24 2151 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
16 - 22 February 2009

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk was spotless.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels during 16 - 18 February.

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels during most of the period. ACE solar wind velocities decreased from 523 to 282 km/sec during 16 - 18 February as a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS) subsided. Solar wind velocities gradually increased from 282 to 490 km/sec during 19 - 22 February, possibly due to a recurrent HSS. During this period, IMF Bz varied from +08 to -06 nT and IMF Bt ranged from 01 to 10 nT.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
25 February - 23 March 2009

Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to increase to high levels during 14 - 18 March. Normal flux levels are expected during the rest of the period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at predominantly quiet levels during 25 February - 12 March. Activity is expected to increase to quiet to active levels during 13 - 14 March with storm periods possible at high latitudes due to a recurrent CH HSS. Activity is expected to decrease to mostly quiet levels during 15 - 23 March.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2009 Feb 24 2152 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2009 Feb 24
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2009 Feb 25 70 5 2
2009 Feb 26 70 5 2
2009 Feb 27 70 5 2
2009 Feb 28 70 5 2
2009 Mar 01 70 5 2
2009 Mar 02 70 5 2
2009 Mar 03 70 5 2
2009 Mar 04 70 5 2
2009 Mar 05 70 5 2
2009 Mar 06 70 5 2
2009 Mar 07 70 5 2
2009 Mar 08 70 5 2
2009 Mar 09 70 5 2
2009 Mar 10 70 5 2
2009 Mar 11 70 5 2
2009 Mar 12 70 5 2
2009 Mar 13 70 12 4
2009 Mar 14 70 10 3
2009 Mar 15 70 5 2
2009 Mar 16 70 5 2
2009 Mar 17 70 5 2
2009 Mar 18 70 5 2
2009 Mar 19 70 5 2
2009 Mar 20 70 5 2
2009 Mar 21 70 5 2
2009 Mar 22 70 5 2
2009 Mar 23 70 5 2
(NOAA)